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Culture · Opening weekend into the Full Moon in Gemini

Will 'Sunrise on the Reaping' open above $100M at the domestic box office?

Window: Nov 20 – 22, 2026 · Trading closes Nov 19, 2026 · Resolves by Nov 24, 2026

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45%chance YES
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The Oracle leans YES

The Oracle's reading

The Haymitch prequel opens the weekend the Moon swells toward Gemini — the sign of twins, talk and teenage fandoms — and settles on the Full Moon itself. Catching Fire opened at $158M; The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes managed only $44.6M. The book was a phenomenon. Gemini says the buzz is real; Scorpio season asks if it converts.

Founding Oracles board · New Moon in Scorpio → Full Moon in Gemini, Nov 9 – Nov 24, 2026. New Moon at 16°52′ Scorpio on Nov 9 (07:02 UTC); Full Moon at 2°19′ Gemini on Nov 24 (14:53 UTC). Mercury turns direct in between.

Resolution

How this market settles

Resolution date: by Nov 24, 2026

Resolves YES if The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping grosses more than $100,000,000 in the US and Canada over its Friday–Sunday opening weekend, Nov 20–22, 2026 (Thursday previews included), per Box Office Mojo's weekend actuals. Resolves NO otherwise, including if the release moves off Nov 20, 2026.

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